Partick Thistle
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Firhill Stadium
Dunfermline Athletic

Partick
1 - 1
Dunfermline

FT
(aet)
Benedictus (42' pen.)
Partick win 3-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Partick Thistle and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partick 2-1 Morton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 4-0 Peterhead
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%).

Result
Partick ThistleDrawDunfermline Athletic
40.82% (0.050999999999995 0.05)28.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.33% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.33% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)59.67% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)79.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)28.69% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (0.018999999999998 0.02)64.51% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)35.03% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22% (-0.055 -0.05)71.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Partick Thistle 40.82%
    Dunfermline Athletic 30.97%
    Draw 28.2%
Partick ThistleDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 40.82%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 10.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 30.97%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Mar 22, 2022 7.05pm
Dunfermline
4-1
Partick
Mayo (10' og.), Todd (22'), Edwards (27'), Thomas (82')
O'Hara (59')
Docherty (5')
Holt (53'), Foster (63')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Jul 10, 2021 3pm
Partick
2-4
Dunfermline
Graham (16'), Rudden (64')
Bell (35')
Todorov (30', 53'), Comrie (35'), MacDonald (43')