Scottish League One | Gameweek 27

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

East End Park

Dunfermline
2 - 0
Alloa

Hamilton (41'), O'Hara (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: QotS 0-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Montrose
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Alloa Athletic
63.19% ( 0.9)	20.97% ( -0.51)	15.84% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 50.26% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.36% (

1.45)

45.64% (

-1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.04% (

1.37)

67.96% (

-1.37)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.2% (

0.75)

13.8% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.87% (

1.46)

41.13% (

-1.46)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.31% (

0.37)

41.69% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.83% (

0.32)

78.16% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 63.18%

Alloa Athletic 15.84%

Draw 20.97%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Alloa Athletic
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.76% Total : 63.18%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.97%	0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 15.84%