Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Partick Thistle
39.82% ( -0.2)	26.39% ( 0.06)	33.78% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 52.59% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.88% (

-0.21)

52.12% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.16% (

-0.18)

73.84% (

0.18)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3% (

-0.2)

25.7% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39% (

-0.28)

60.61% (

0.28)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

-0.01)

29.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82% (

-0.01)

65.18% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 39.82%

Partick Thistle 33.78%

Draw 26.39%

Ayr United	Draw	Partick Thistle
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.82%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.78%