Arbroath
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Montrose

Arbroath
3 - 0
Montrose

McIntosh (12'), Dunnwald (70'), Bird (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Steeves (77')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Arbroath and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Forfar 3-1 Arbroath
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 1-1 Montrose (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawMontrose
48.12% (0.009999999999998 0.01)24.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)27.44% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.79% (-0.188 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (-0.22900000000001 -0.23)46.51% (0.232 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (-0.215 -0.22)68.79% (0.218 0.22)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)19.4% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (-0.142 -0.14)51.22% (0.144 0.14)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)30.77% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (-0.19 -0.19)67.04% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 48.12%
    Montrose 27.44%
    Draw 24.43%
ArbroathDrawMontrose
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.068 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 48.12%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 27.44%

Head to Head
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Group Stage
Arbroath
3-1
Montrose
Swankie (27'), Thomson (43'), O'Brien (86')
Gold (61'), Ruth (70')
Webster (10')
Watson (87')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
Arbroath
1-0
Montrose
Little (64')
O'Brien (43')

Watson (5'), Dillon (14'), Masson (64'), Steeves (94')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Montrose
1-1
Arbroath
Rennie (75')
Dillon (55'), Steeves (70')
Watson (53')
O'Brien (77')
McKenna (49'), Swankie (55')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Arbroath
2-0
Montrose
Denholm (34'), Doris (85')
O'Brien (77'), McKenna (81')

Campbell (43'), Rennie (60'), Dillon (80'), Bolochoweckyj (87')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Montrose
0-4
Arbroath

Cregg (62'), Dillon (67')
Wallace (22'), Linn (69' pen., 82'), Hester (90')
Whatley (68')