Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.