Scottish League Cup
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Leighton McIntosh 12' goal
  • Kenan Dunnwald 70' goal
  • Jay Bird 79' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Steeves 77'

Arbroath vs Montrose - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
Forfar 3 - 1 Arbroath

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 22, 2023 3.00pm
Cowdenbeath 1 - 1 Montrose

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result

Arbroath 48.12% (+0.01)
Draw 24.44% (+0.05)
Montrose 27.44% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.79% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.49% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 46.51% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 31.21% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 68.79% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 15.52% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 84.48% (+0.16)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 80.6% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 19.4% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 48.78% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 51.22% (+0.15)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5 69.23% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 30.77% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 32.96% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 67.04% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Arbroath 48.12%
Draw 24.43%
Montrose 27.44%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 9.79% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.03% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.39% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 48.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.97% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.43%
Montrose
0-1 @ 7.04% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.15% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 27.44%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Oct 10, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • Gavin Swankie 27' goal
  • Jason Thomson 43' goal
  • David Gold 61' yellowcard
  • Michael Ruth 70' yellowcard
  • Thomas O'Brien 86' goal
  • goal Graham Webster 10'
  • yellowcard Paul Watson 87'
Scottish League One Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park (Arbroath)
  • Thomas O'Brien 43' yellowcard
  • Ricky Little 64' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Watson 5'
  • yellowcard Sean Dillon 14'
  • yellowcard Terry Masson 64'
  • yellowcard Andrew Steeves 94'
Scottish League One Gameweek 19
Dec 29, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Links Park (Montrose)
  • Paul Watson 53' redcard
  • Sean Dillon 55' yellowcard
  • Andrew Steeves 70' yellowcard
  • Martin Rennie 75' goal
  • yellowcard Michael McKenna 49'
  • yellowcard Gavin Swankie 55'
  • goal Thomas O'Brien 77'
Scottish League One Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gayfield Park (Arbroath)
  • Danny Denholm 34' goal
  • Thomas O'Brien 77' yellowcard
  • Michael McKenna 81' yellowcard
  • Steven Doris 85' goal
  • yellowcard Ross Campbell 43'
  • yellowcard Martin Rennie 60'
  • yellowcard Sean Dillon 80'
  • yellowcard Michael Bolochoweckyj 87'
Scottish League One Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2018 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Links Park (Montrose)
  • Patrick Cregg 62' yellowcard
  • Sean Dillon 67' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Wallace 22'
  • yellowcard Mark Whatley 68'
  • goal Bobby Linn 69'
  • goal Bobby Linn 82'
  • goal Kane Hester 90'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 22, 2017 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Gold 31' goal
  • Danny Denholm 69' goal
  • Danny Denholm 74' goal
  • Steven Doris 91' goal