Montrose
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Links Park
Forfar Athletic

Montrose
1 - 2
Forfar

Hester (56')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Skelly (34' pen.), Ross (40')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Montrose and Forfar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Montrose 1-0 St Mirren
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Forfar 1-0 Cowdenbeath
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
MontroseDrawForfar Athletic
38.46% (-1.963 -1.96)24.8% (0.765 0.76)36.74% (1.194 1.19)
Both teams to score 58.46% (-2.665 -2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (-3.52 -3.52)44.75% (3.517 3.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (-3.486 -3.49)67.11% (3.482 3.48)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (-2.497 -2.5)23.08% (2.493 2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (-3.8 -3.8)56.93% (3.796 3.8)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.967 -0.97)23.99% (0.965 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76% (-1.4 -1.4)58.24% (1.396 1.4)
Score Analysis
    Montrose 38.46%
    Forfar Athletic 36.74%
    Draw 24.8%
MontroseDrawForfar Athletic
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.627 0.63)
2-0 @ 5.95% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.429 -0.43)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.4 -0.4)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.289 -0.29)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.243 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.46%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.59 0.59)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.321 -0.32)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.798 0.8)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.193 0.19)
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.944 0.94)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.53 0.53)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.182 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 36.74%

Head to Head
Jul 13, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Forfar
0-0
Montrose
 Forfar win 5-4 on penalties
Thomas (65')
Steeves (46')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Forfar
P-P
Montrose
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Montrose
0-0
Forfar
Waddell (67')
Barr (58'), Coll (67'), Fisher (88')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Forfar
2-3
Montrose
Allan (60'), Antoniazzi (80')
Robertson (30'), Irvine (85')
Watson (30', 65'), Callaghan (90+3')
Cochrane (20'), Webster (90+1')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 30
Montrose
P-P
Forfar