Arbroath
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Inverness CT

Arbroath
4 - 2
Inverness

Gold (34'), O'Brien (41'), Stewart (70'), Steele (84')
O'Brien (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brooks (43'), Hyde (90+3')
Boyes (84')
Lodovica (63')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Arbroath and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Last Game: Arbroath 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Last Game: Inverness 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
35.23% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)25.97% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)38.79% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.22% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.85% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.14% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89% (0.023 0.02)72.11% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)27.37% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)62.83% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.064999999999998 0.06)25.35% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (0.088000000000001 0.09)60.14% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 35.23%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.79%
    Draw 25.97%
ArbroathDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.23%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.79%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Inverness
2-0
Arbroath
Shaw (53'), Allardice (78' pen.)
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Arbroath
1-4
Inverness
Ben El-Mhanni (26')
Mckay (9'), Henderson (45'), MacKay (65'), Nicolson (86')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Inverness
1-1
Arbroath
Shaw (52')
Shanks (60')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Arbroath
0-0
Inverness
Fosu (50')
Oakley (29'), Carson (90+3')
May 13, 2022 7.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Arbroath
0-0
Inverness
 Inverness win 5-3 on penalties
Hamilton (55'), Hamilton (73'), Wighton (120')
Carson (27'), Duffy (90+5'), Mckay (115'), Hyde (118'), Deas (120')
Devine (66'), Duffy (113')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!