Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Arbroath4 - 2Inverness
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Arbroath and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arbroath 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
35.23% ( -0.09) | 25.97% ( -0.01) | 38.79% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.22% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.85% ( 0.02) | 50.14% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.89% ( 0.02) | 72.11% ( -0.03) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.63% ( -0.04) | 27.37% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.16% ( -0.06) | 62.83% ( 0.05) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.65% ( 0.06) | 25.35% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.86% ( 0.09) | 60.14% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath 35.23%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.79%
Draw 25.97%
Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.23% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.79% |
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-29 09:47:43
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Arsenal coach 'wanted by Feyenoord as Arne Slot replacement'
2
Feyenoord's £25m-rated defender spotted at Liverpool game
3
Colwill, Chilwell, Gusto - Chelsea injury news and return dates before Spurs clash
4
Werner, Skipp, Udogie - Tottenham injury news and return dates before Chelsea clash
5
Arsenal, Tottenham 'battling for 18-year-old West Ham starlet'
6
This weekend's permutations: Who can be crowned champions, win promotion or suffer relegation?
7
Premier League Team of the Week - Havertz, Gallagher, Robertson
8
Picture Spoilers: This week on EastEnders (Apr 29-May 2)
9
Doctor Who's Ncuti Gatwa vows to "be around for a while"
10
Five potential free agents Man Utd should target this summer
Sport News 24/7