Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • David Gold 34' goal
  • Thomas O'Brien 41' goal
  • Scott Stewart 70' goal
  • Thomas O'Brien 75' yellowcard
  • Aaron Steele 84' goal
  • goal Adam Brooks 43'
  • redcard Harry Lodovica 63'
  • yellowcard Morgan Boyes 84'
  • goal Lewis Hyde 90'+3'

Arbroath vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

Arbroath 35.23% (-0.10)
Draw 25.97% (-0.01)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.79% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.22% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.85% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 50.14% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.89% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 72.11% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 13.24% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.76% (-0.02)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 72.63% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 27.37% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 37.16% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 62.83% (+0.06)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 74.65% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 25.35% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 39.86% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 60.14% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Arbroath 35.23%
Draw 25.97%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.79%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.97%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.47% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.53% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.79%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nathan Shaw 53' goal
  • Scott Allardice 78' goal
Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Yasin Ben El-Mhanni 26' goal
  • goal Billy Mckay 9'
  • goal Jay Henderson 45'
  • goal Daniel MacKay 65'
  • goal Lewis Nicolson 86'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nathan Shaw 52' goal
  • goal Kieran Shanks 60'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Daniel Fosu 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Oakley 29'
  • yellowcard David Carson 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 13, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Colin Hamilton 55' yellowcard
  • Colin Hamilton 73' yellowcard
  • Craig Wighton 120' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Carson 27'
  • redcard Daniel Devine 66'
  • yellowcard Wallace Duffy 90'+5'
  • redcard Wallace Duffy 113'
  • yellowcard Billy Mckay 115'
  • yellowcard Lewis Hyde 118'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 120'
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 10, 2022 7.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kirk Broadfoot 39' yellowcard
  • Reece McAlear 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 58'
  • yellowcard Liam Henderson 90'+3'