Scottish Championship | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
2 - 1
Ayr

Bird (21'), Hylton (82')
O'Brien (45+2'), Hylton (71'), Little (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rose (45+3')
McAllister (26')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Morton 0-3 Arbroath
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 0-3 Dundee Utd
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Ayr United
34.53% ( 0.91)	26.82% ( -0.15)	38.65% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.24% (

0.74)

53.75% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.77% (

0.63)

75.23% (

-0.63)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

0.96)

29.55% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.42% (

1.15)

65.58% (

-1.16)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9% (

-0.08)

27.1% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.51% (

-0.1)

62.48% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 34.53%

Ayr United 38.64%

Draw 26.81%

Arbroath	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.53%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.64%