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Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Dundee United

Ayr
0 - 3
Dundee Utd


Musonda (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Holt (58', 90'), Moult (62')
Holt (65'), Glass (76')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dundee United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Livingston 2-0 Ayr
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee United
38.45% (0.125 0.13)27.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)34% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 49.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)56.66% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)77.62% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.072000000000003 0.07)28.59% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (0.088999999999999 0.09)64.39% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)31.35% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)67.71% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 38.45%
    Dundee United 33.99%
    Draw 27.54%
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.45%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 10.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.99%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Ayr
1-1
Dundee Utd
 Dundee Utd win 4-3 on penalties
Adeloye (56')
Baird (62'), Murdoch (79'), Reading (104')
Baird (80')
Clark (80' pen.)
Fuchs (113')
> Preview
May 2, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Dundee Utd
P-P
Ayr
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Ayr
0-0
Dundee Utd
Harvie (49'), Kelly (90')
Bingham (64'), Smith (90')
> Match Report
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 18
Dundee Utd
4-0
Ayr
Stanton (42'), Shankland (57' pen.), Clark (61'), Harkes (87')
Butcher (74')

Kerr (56'), Moore (72')
Kerr (56')
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ayr
2-0
Dundee Utd
Harvie (9'), Forrest (75' pen.)
Moffat (45'), Harvie (86')