Scottish League Cup
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Mark McKenzie
27'
Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result
Ayr United
64.28%
▼
(-0.48)
Draw
19.73%
▲
(+0.28)
Stenhousemuir
15.99%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
54.79%
▼
(-0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.19%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 2.5
39.81%
▲
(+0.94)
Over 3.5
37.83%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 3.5
62.16%
▲
(+0.98)
Over 4.5
20.43%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 4.5
79.57%
▲
(+0.77)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5
88.29%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
11.7%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
63.19%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 1.5
36.81%
▲
(+0.87)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5
62.05%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 0.5
37.95%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 1.5
25.28%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
74.72%
▲
(+0.33)
Score analysis
Ayr United
64.28%
Draw
19.74%
Stenhousemuir
15.99%
Ayr United
2-0
@
10.22%
▲
(+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 64.28%
2-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 64.28%
Draw
1-1
@
9.23%
▲
(+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.74%
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.74%
Stenhousemuir
1-2
@
4.47%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 15.99%
0-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 15.99%
Head to Head
Scottish League Cup
-
Lawrence Shankland
2'
-
Lawrence Shankland
8'
-
Michael Moffat
41'
-
Lawrence Shankland
46'
-
Michael Moffat
86'
-
Kyle Johnson
23'
-
Alan Cook
56'
-
Jesus Garcia Tena
58'
Scottish League One
-
Angus Beith
58'
-
Ross Meechan
62'
-
Michael Donald
1'
-
Craig Moore
47'
-
Peter Murphy
52'
-
Jordan Preston
79'
-
Jordan Preston
88'
-
Ross Docherty
92'
Scottish League One
-
Nicky Devlin
5'
-
Jamie Adams
43'
-
Craig Moore
65'
-
Stuart Malcolm
77'
-
Ryan Stevenson
84'
-
Alan Trouten
92'
-
Ciaran Summers
21'
-
Alan Cook
54'
-
Ross Meechan
59'
-
Jamie McCormack
69'
-
Alan Cook
73'
-
Mark Gilhaney
91'
-
Jamie McCormack
93'
Scottish League One
-
Jon Robertson
89'
-
Euan Murray
90'
-
Ross Caldwell
9'
Scottish League One
-
Jordan Preston
3'
-
Craig Moore
26'
-
Jamie Barclay
35'
-
Jordan Preston
47'
-
Steven Docherty
65'
-
Gerard McLauchlan
79'
-
Ross Caldwell
86'
-
Euan Murray
17'
-
Stewart Malcolm
26'
-
Liam McCroary
88'
Scottish League One
-
Scott McKenna
88'
-
Colin McMenamin
71'