Elgin City
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 29
Apr 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Borough Briggs
Stenhousemuir

Elgin
1 - 1
Stenhousemuir

Reid (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Forbes (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Elgin City and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions
Last Game: Albion Rovers 3-0 Elgin
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Elgin CityDrawStenhousemuir
28.66% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)24.41% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)46.92% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.79% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.036000000000001 0.04)45.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (0.034999999999997 0.03)67.94% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.0020000000000095 0)29.41% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.0019999999999953 0)65.41% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (0.027999999999992 0.03)19.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.045999999999999 0.05)51.45% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Elgin City 28.66%
    Stenhousemuir 46.92%
    Draw 24.41%
Elgin CityDrawStenhousemuir
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 28.66%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 46.92%

How you voted: Elgin vs Stenhousemuir

Elgin City
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Stenhousemuir
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Stenhousemuir
2-0
Elgin
Brown (44'), Anderson (90+3', 90+3')
Wedderburn (39')

MacEwan (15'), Reid (73'), Towler (74'), Dolzanski (75')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Elgin
2-1
Stenhousemuir
Dingwall (18'), Hester (45+1')
Dolzanski (20')
Sewell (40')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Stenhousemuir
3-3
Elgin
Miller (45'), Brown (51'), Crighton (84')
Forbes (23')
Hester (16', 70'), Dingwall (54')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Elgin
3-1
Stenhousemuir
Hester (29'), Dolzanski (33'), Dingwall (58')
Dolzanski (21'), Hester (72')
Orr (72')
Jamieson (33'), O'Reilly (45+2'), Crighton (65')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Elgin
0-2
Stenhousemuir

Mailer (11'), Towler (89')
Corbett (15'), Miller (84')
Thomson (40'), Wedderburn (77')