Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.