Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 53.32%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.