Dumbarton
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 17
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Bet Butler Stadium
Stenhousemuir

Dumbarton
1 - 0
Stenhousemuir

Gray (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Dumbarton and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-2 Elgin
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 0-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dumbarton in this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawStenhousemuir
46.99% (-6.549 -6.55)25.02% (1.156 1.16)27.99% (5.396 5.4)
Both teams to score 54.32% (1.633 1.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (-0.378 -0.38)48.64% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (-0.346 -0.35)70.76% (0.34700000000001 0.35)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-2.781 -2.78)20.74% (2.783 2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (-4.574 -4.57)53.36% (4.575 4.58)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (4.315 4.32)31.47% (-4.313 -4.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15% (4.704 4.7)67.85% (-4.703 -4.7)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 46.98%
    Stenhousemuir 27.99%
    Draw 25.01%
DumbartonDrawStenhousemuir
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.77 -0.77)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.399 -0.4)
2-0 @ 8.08% (-1.398 -1.4)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.677 -0.68)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-1.188 -1.19)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.467 -0.47)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.663 -0.66)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.98%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.53 0.53)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.395 0.4)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.942 0.94)
1-2 @ 6.86% (1.035 1.04)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.969 0.97)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.648 0.65)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.366 0.37)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.519 0.52)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.99%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Stenhousemuir
1-1
Dumbarton
Yates (90+5')
Corbett (8'), Brown (40'), Crighton (78')
Love (45+2')
Wallace (73')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Stenhousemuir
1-3
Dumbarton
O'Reilly (72')
Yates (4'), Orr (60')
Orr (33' og.), McNiff (54'), Gray (90+1')
McKee (74'), Wallace (81'), Carswell (84')
Jul 13, 2021 7.45pm
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
MacLean (40')
Carswell (81')
Lyon (63'), Thomson (79')
Anderson (39')
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
Barr (85')
Marsh (27'), McBrearty (72')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Stenhousemuir
2-2
Dumbarton
Paton (8'), McGuigan (54')
Reid (28'), McBrearty (56')
McBrearty (90')
Forbes (45', 90')