Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Findlay Gray 38'

Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

L
L
W
D
W
L

Scottish League Two

L
L
W
D
W
L

Last game

Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm

Dumbarton 1 - 2 Elgin

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Dec Byrne

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

W
W
D
D
W
L

Scottish League Two

W
W
D
D
W
D

Last game

Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm

Bonnyrigg Rose 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Goals scored

51

Top scorer

Matt Yates

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dumbarton in this match.

Result

Dumbarton 46.99% ▼ (-6.55)

Draw 25.02% ▲ (+1.16)

Stenhousemuir 27.99% ▲ (+5.40)

Both Teams to Score:

54.32% ▲ (+1.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.36% ▼ (-0.38)

Under 2.5 48.64% ▲ (+0.39)

Over 3.5 29.24% ▼ (-0.35)

Under 3.5 70.76% ▲ (+0.35)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 79.26% ▼ (-2.79)

Under 0.5 20.74% ▲ (+2.79)

Over 1.5 46.64% ▼ (-4.58)

Under 1.5 53.36% ▲ (+4.58)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 68.53% ▲ (+4.32)

Under 0.5 31.47% ▼ (-4.32)

Over 1.5 32.15% ▲ (+4.71)

Under 1.5 67.85% ▼ (-4.71)

Score analysis

Dumbarton 46.98%

Draw 25.01%

Stenhousemuir 27.99%

Dumbarton

1-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.77)

2-1 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.40)

2-0 @ 8.08% ▼ (-1.40)

3-1 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.68)

3-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-1.19)

3-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.04)

4-1 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.47)

4-0 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.67)

4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.12)

Other @ 2.64%

Total : 46.98%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.86% ▲ (+0.53)

0-0 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.11)

2-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.40)

3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-97.01)

Other @ 0.13%

Total : 25.01%

Stenhousemuir

0-1 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.95)

1-2 @ 6.86% ▲ (+1.04)

0-2 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.97)

1-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.65)

2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.37)

0-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.52)

Other @ 2.82%

Total : 27.99%

Head to Head

Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Matt Yates 90'+5'

Ally Love 45'+2'

Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT

Matt Yates 4'
Thomas Orr 59'
Thomas Orr 60'
Ewan O'Reilly 72'

Ryan Blair 33'
Thomas Orr 33' (OG)
Martin McNiff 54'
Martin McNiff 54'
Joe McKee 74'
Ryan Wallace 81'
Stuart Carswell 84'
Findlay Gray 90'+1'

Jul 13, 2021 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT The C&G Systems Stadium

Ross MacLean 40'
Stuart Carswell 81'

Michael Anderson 39'
James Lyon 63'
Robert Thomson 79'

Mar 30, 2019 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT The C&G Systems Stadium (Dumbarton)

Craig Barr 85'

David Marsh 27'
Connor McBrearty 72'

Dec 29, 2018 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)

Harry Paton 8'
Alan Reid 28'
Mark McGuigan 54'
Conor McBrearty 56'
Conor McBrearty 90'

Ross Forbes 45'
Ross Forbes 90'

Nov 10, 2018 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT The C&G Systems Stadium (Dumbarton)

Ross Forbes 23'
Dom Thomas 56'
Scott Allardice 62'
Brad Spencer 81'

Mark Ferry 22'
Alan Reid 25'
Mark McGuigan 33'
Conner Duthie 63'
Morgyn Neill 81'

Form Data

Dumbarton 1 - 2 Elgin

East Fife 2 - 0 Dumbarton

Dumbarton 2 - 1 Annan

Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Dumbarton

Dumbarton 1 - 0 Bonnyrigg Rose

Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Dumbarton

Bonnyrigg Rose 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Albion Rovers

Forfar 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Dumbarton

Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Elgin

Stenhousemuir 1 - 3 Livingston