Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.