MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 12:42:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Dumbarton

Stenhousemuir
1 - 1
Dumbarton

Yates (90+5')
Corbett (8'), Brown (40'), Crighton (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Love (45+2')
Wallace (73')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawDumbarton
41.61% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 24.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 34.29% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.6% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.21% (0.107 0.11)41.79% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.108 0.11)64.19% (-0.108 -0.11)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)20.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36% (0.026000000000003 0.03)52.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.096999999999994 0.1)23.97% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79% (0.14 0.14)58.21% (-0.141 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 41.61%
    Dumbarton 34.29%
    Draw 24.09%
StenhousemuirDrawDumbarton
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.29%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Stenhousemuir
1-3
Dumbarton
O'Reilly (72')
Yates (4'), Orr (60')
Orr (33' og.), McNiff (54'), Gray (90+1')
McKee (74'), Wallace (81'), Carswell (84')
Jul 13, 2021 7.45pm
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
MacLean (40')
Carswell (81')
Lyon (63'), Thomson (79')
Anderson (39')
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
Barr (85')
Marsh (27'), McBrearty (72')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Stenhousemuir
2-2
Dumbarton
Paton (8'), McGuigan (54')
Reid (28'), McBrearty (56')
McBrearty (90')
Forbes (45', 90')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Dumbarton
2-1
Stenhousemuir
Forbes (23' pen.), Thomas (56')
Allardice (62'), Spencer (81')
McGuigan (33' pen.)
Ferry (22'), Reid (25'), Duthie (63'), Neill (81')
rhs 2.0
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