Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Forfar Athletic

Stenhousemuir
1 - 2
Forfar

Yeats (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McCluskey (17'), Armour (50')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Forfar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Last Game: Elgin 2-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Forfar 1-0 Albion Rovers
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawForfar Athletic
50.11% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)23.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.04% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.52% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.165 0.16)45% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.159 0.16)67.35% (-0.15700000000001 -0.16)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (0.009999999999998 0.01)48.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.21199999999999 0.21)31.06% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (0.247 0.25)67.37% (-0.244 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 50.11%
    Forfar Athletic 26.04%
    Draw 23.85%
StenhousemuirDrawForfar Athletic
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.04%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Forfar
1-2
Stenhousemuir
Nditi (89')
Moore (44'), Nditi (79')
Jamieson (20'), Sewell (42')
Yates (79'), Miller (87')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Forfar
0-0
Stenhousemuir

Forbes (21')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Stenhousemuir
2-0
Forfar
Thomson (26'), Corbett (50')
Wedderburn (73')

Aitken (35'), Brindley (43'), Shepherd (73'), McCluskey (84')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Forfar
3-4
Stenhousemuir
Fisher (11'), Shepherd (54'), Munro (57')
Munro (28'), Shepherd (59')
Corbett (5', 32'), Forbes (24', 43')
Tapping (19'), Forbes (19'), Crighton (60')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Stenhousemuir
1-1
Forfar
Crighton (90+1')
Jamieson (90+2')
Thomson (5')
Shepherd (14'), Gallagher (51'), Munro (62')