Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.