Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 15.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a East Fife win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.