Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 21
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Station Park
Dumbarton

Forfar
2 - 1
Dumbarton

Armour (58', 67' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Love (76' pen.)
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Forfar Athletic and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Annan 0-2 Forfar
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: Albion Rovers 0-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 31 at 1pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Forfar AthleticDrawDumbarton
32.23% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)25.41% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)42.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.36% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)48.33% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (0.036000000000001 0.04)70.48% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.9%64.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (0.034999999999997 0.03)22.72% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (0.054000000000002 0.05)56.38% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Forfar Athletic 32.23%
    Dumbarton 42.37%
    Draw 25.4%
Forfar AthleticDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.23%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.37%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Dumbarton
2-2
Forfar
Wylde (40'), Wilson (64')
Nditi (8'), McCluskey (63')
Slater (9')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Forfar
0-0
Dumbarton

Hutton (7')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Dumbarton
1-0
Forfar
Duthie (88')
Neill (35'), Forbes (85')

Allan (73')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Forfar
P-P
Dumbarton
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dumbarton
0-1
Forfar

Frizzell (88')
McGeever (56' og.)
Nditi (29'), Meechan (42'), Munro (55'), Anderson (82')