East Fife
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bayview Stadium
Stranraer

East Fife
1 - 3
Stranraer

Mercer (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Walker (14' pen.), Hilton (41'), Brown (66')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between East Fife and Stranraer.

Form, Standings, Stats

East Fife

All competitions
Last Game: East Fife 1-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Stranraer

All competitions
Last Game: Stranraer 0-4 Albion Rovers
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.

Result
East FifeDrawStranraer
35.57% (0.128 0.13)24.93% (-0.201 -0.2)39.5% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.87% (0.729 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54% (0.934 0.93)45.46% (-0.933 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21% (0.885 0.89)67.79% (-0.883 -0.88)
East Fife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.51000000000001 0.51)24.96% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.703 0.7)59.61% (-0.701 -0.7)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (0.45 0.45)22.87% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.66 0.66)56.61% (-0.658 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    East Fife 35.57%
    Stranraer 39.5%
    Draw 24.92%
East FifeDrawStranraer
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.92% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.57%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.096 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.5%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Stranraer
2-2
East Fife
Woods (15'), Watt (33')
Forrest (49'), Ellis (81'), McLean (90')
Watt (67')
Schiavone (22'), Healy (90+4')
Ferguson (65')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Stranraer
P-P
East Fife
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
East Fife
4-2
Stranraer
Dowds (18'), Agnew (45' pen.), Denholm (50'), Wallace (59')
Davidson (35')
Pereira (78'), Robertson (78')
McManus (45'), Stirling (58'), Robertson (87')
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Stranraer
0-2
East Fife

Stirling (49'), Robertson (63'), Hamilton (77'), Currie (91')
Davidson (64'), Agnew (90')
Hunter (43'), Long (66'), Wallace (67'), Dunsmore (93')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
East Fife
1-1
Stranraer
Wallace (17')
Slattery (41')
Jones (83')
Stirling (31'), Robertson (40')