Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.