Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.