Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Forfar Athletic in this match.