Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.