Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.