/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F11%2Fayrlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F11%2Falllog.png)
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Fraser Bryden
14'
-
Nick McAllister
37'
-
Jamie Murphy
45'+1'
-
Fraser Bryden
62'
-
Oli Pendlebury
70'
-
Ahkeem Rose
84'
-
Steven Hetherington
73'
Ayr United vs Alloa Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result
Ayr United
64.18%
▼
(-0.24)
Draw
21.01%
▲
(+0.10)
Alloa Athletic
14.82%
▲
(+0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
47.73%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.24%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
47.76%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
30.05%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
69.95%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
14.71%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
85.29%
▲
(+0.08)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5
85.83%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
14.17%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
58.13%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
41.87%
▲
(+0.22)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5
55.61%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
44.38%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
19.56%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
80.44%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Ayr United
64.17%
Draw
21.01%
Alloa Athletic
14.82%
Ayr United
1-0
@
12.29%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 64.17%
2-0 @ 12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 64.17%
Draw
1-1
@
9.98%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.01%
0-0 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.01%
Alloa Athletic
0-1
@
5.11%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 14.82%
1-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 14.82%
