Scottish League One Gameweek 36
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Craig Wighton 64'
  • goal Paul McGowan 68'

Alloa Athletic vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Montrose 0 - 4 Alloa

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Dunfermline 2 - 1 Clyde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result

Alloa Athletic 25.38% (+1.11)
Draw 23.42% (+0.27)
Dunfermline Athletic 51.2% (-1.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.32% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.36% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 43.63% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 33.97% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 66.02% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 17.5% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 82.49% (+0.13)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 69.15% (+0.81)
Under 0.5 30.85% (-0.81)
Over 1.5 32.86% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 67.13% (-0.94)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 82.9% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 17.1% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 52.69% (-1.00)
Under 1.5 47.3% (+1.00)

Score analysis

Alloa Athletic 25.38%
Draw 23.41%
Dunfermline Athletic 51.2%
Alloa Athletic
2-1 @ 6.44% (+0.21)
1-0 @ 6.21% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 3.65% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 2.53% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.43% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 25.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.69% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.28% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.41%
Dunfermline Athletic
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 8.23% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 4.84% (-0.24)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.12)
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.15)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.2%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris Hamilton 41' goal
  • Kevin O'Hara 68' goal
Scottish League One Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Aaron Comrie 30'
  • goal Matty Todd 45'+2'
  • goal Craig Wighton 79'
Scottish League One Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT East End Park
  • Matty Todd 74' goal
  • Paul Allan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Sammon 11'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT East End Park
  • Chris Hamilton 20' goal
  • goal Conor Sammon 59'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Apr 30, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Innes Murray 47' goal
  • Ray Grant 60' yellowcard
  • Liam Dick 61' yellowcard
  • Innes Cameron 75' yellowcard
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Craig Wighton 14' goal
  • Craig Wighton 59' goal
  • Declan McManus 81' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Cawley 44'