Scottish League One | Gameweek 36

May 6, 2023 at 3pm UK

Recreation Park

Alloa
0 - 2
Dunfermline

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wighton (64'), McGowan (68')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Montrose 0-4 Alloa
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Dunfermline 2-1 Clyde
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
25.38% ( 1.1)	23.42% ( 0.27)	51.2% ( -1.37)

Both teams to score 57.32% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36% (

-0.18)

43.63% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97% (

-0.17)

66.02% (

0.17)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15% (

0.8)

30.85% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.86% (

0.93)

67.13% (

-0.93)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

-0.56)

17.1% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.69% (

-1)

47.3% (

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 25.38%

Dunfermline Athletic 51.2%

Draw 23.41%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.9% Total : 25.38%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.2%