Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish League One | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
East End Park
Queen of the South

Dunfermline
5 - 0
QotS

Ritchie-Hosler (22'), Todd (39'), Wighton (52', 64'), O'Hara (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Peterhead 0-2 Dunfermline
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Queen of the South

All competitions
Last Game: Alloa 1-2 QotS
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawQueen of the South
51.47% (0.012999999999998 0.01)23.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)24.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 54.53% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08% (0.068000000000005 0.07)46.91% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (0.062999999999999 0.06)69.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (0.032000000000011 0.03)18.23% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.74% (0.054000000000002 0.05)49.26% (-0.055 -0.05)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (0.040000000000006 0.04)33.32% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.94% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 51.47%
    Queen of the South 24.53%
    Draw 23.99%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawQueen of the South
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.53%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
QotS
0-2
Dunfermline

McKechnie (27')
Wighton (22'), Todd (47' og.)
Breen (17')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Dunfermline
1-1
QotS
Todorov (67')
Paton (45')
McKenna (74')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
QotS
0-2
Dunfermline

McKay (45+1'), Quitongo (49'), Reilly (68'), Murray (90+1')
Todorov (19'), Breen (45+2')
Benedictus (22'), McCann (71'), Mochrie (72'), Hamilton (90+2')
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
Dunfermline
1-2
QotS
Edwards (6')
McCann (79')
Chalmers (51' og.), O'Connor (71')
Nditi (75'), Rae (76')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
QotS
0-2
Dunfermline
Dorrans (22'), Pybus (29')