Scottish League One | Gameweek 30

Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Meadowbank Stadium

Edinburgh
1 - 3
QotS

Craigen (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Paton (64'), Murray (80'), McKay (84')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Edinburgh City and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Edinburgh City

All competitions

Last Game: Dunfermline 0-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Queen of the South

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: QotS 1-0 Falkirk
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.

Result
Edinburgh City	Draw	Queen of the South
33.46% ( 0.13)	24.21% ( 0.11)	42.32% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 59.97% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.48% (

-0.48)

42.52% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.07% (

-0.48)

64.92% (

0.47)

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

-0.15)

24.79% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.63% (

-0.21)

59.36% (

0.21)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73% (

-0.3)

20.26% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38% (

-0.49)

52.61% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Edinburgh City 33.46%

Queen of the South 42.32%

Draw 24.2%

Edinburgh City	Draw	Queen of the South
2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 42.32%