Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One | Gameweek 32
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
Queen of the South

Alloa
1 - 2
QotS

Taggart (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Paton (14', 35')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alloa 0-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 2-1 Peterhead
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawQueen of the South
42.92% (-2.423 -2.42)24% (-0.392 -0.39)33.08% (2.819 2.82)
Both teams to score 60.58% (2.709 2.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33% (2.983 2.98)41.67% (-2.979 -2.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.93% (2.946 2.95)64.07% (-2.942 -2.94)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (0.175 0.17)19.65% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38% (0.28 0.28)51.62% (-0.277 -0.28)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (3.217 3.22)24.61% (-3.212 -3.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (4.306 4.31)59.11% (-4.303 -4.3)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 42.92%
    Queen of the South 33.08%
    Draw 24%
Alloa AthleticDrawQueen of the South
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-1.057 -1.06)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.821 -0.82)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.224 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.382 0.38)
0-0 @ 4.84% (-0.679 -0.68)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.235 0.24)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.43 0.43)
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.275 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.24 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.5 0.5)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.42 0.42)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.297 0.3)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.271 0.27)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.225 0.23)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.08%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
QotS
1-2
Alloa
Paton (28')
Sammon (62'), Maciver (86')
Church (40')
Dec 9, 2022 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Alloa
2-4
QotS
King (15'), Cawley (39')
Connelly (3', 78'), McKenna (49'), Todd (82')
Irving (33')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Alloa
5-1
QotS
Maciver (44'), Church (62'), Stanger (65'), Offord (67', 84')
Reilly (2')
Paton (30')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
QotS
1-1
Alloa
Reilly (42')
Church (88')
(60')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
QotS
2-3
Alloa
Mebude (11'), East (37')
Gibson (15')
Obileye (45+1'), McCabe (85')
Murray (20'), Connelly (44'), Buchanan (77')
Robertson (32'), Connelly (48'), Murray (85'), Graham (90+1')