Alloa Athletic
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Stirling Albion

Alloa
1 - 2
Stirling

Coulson (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McLean (75'), Carrick (88' pen.)
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Alloa Athletic and Stirling Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Hamilton 5-2 Alloa
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Stirling Albion

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stirling 1-1 Ayr (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawStirling Albion
31.42% (-0.096 -0.1)25.7% (0.127 0.13)42.88% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-0.447 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (-0.564 -0.56)49.85% (0.568 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (-0.504 -0.5)71.85% (0.509 0.51)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (-0.345 -0.34)29.65% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)65.7% (0.428 0.43)
Stirling Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (-0.254 -0.25)23.13% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (-0.376 -0.38)56.98% (0.38 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 31.42%
    Stirling Albion 42.87%
    Draw 25.69%
Alloa AthleticDrawStirling Albion
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.42%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 10.03% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.35% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.87%

How you voted: Alloa vs Stirling

Alloa Athletic
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Stirling Albion
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Alloa
2-1
Stirling
O'Hara (69'), Buchanan (86')
Wilson (51')
McGeachie (66'), Docherty (85')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Alloa
3-1
Stirling
Cawley (40', 45'), Flannigan (46')
Hetherington (70')
Hamilton (55')
Jardine (79')
Aug 2, 2014 3pm
First Round
Alloa
1-0
Stirling
Spence (26')