Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
1 - 2
Ayr

Kucheriavyi (43')
Carey (84'), Steven (90+3'), Steven (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stanger (29'), Dempsey (71')
Dempsey (35'), Murdoch (67'), McAllister (70'), Murphy (73')

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between St Johnstone and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Alloa 0-4 St Johnstone
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Ayr United
36.9% ( -0.23)	25.94% ( -0.05)	37.15% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 54.45% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.1% (

0.21)

49.89% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.11% (

0.19)

71.88% (

-0.19)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72% (

-0.04)

26.28% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.6% (

-0.05)

61.39% (

0.04)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86% (

0.26)

26.13% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.79% (

0.34)

61.2% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 36.9%

Ayr United 37.15%

Draw 25.93%

St Johnstone	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.9%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.15%