Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Ayr United
51.4% ( -0.02)	24.48% ( 0)	24.12% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.55% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67% (

0.01)

49.32% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

71.37% (

-0)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82% (

-0.01)

19.18% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14% (

-0.01)

50.85% (

0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.02% (

0.02)

34.98% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.27% (

0.02)

71.72% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Livingston 51.39%

Ayr United 24.12%

Draw 24.47%

Livingston	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.39%	1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.47%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.12%