Scottish Championship | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
1 - 1
Dunfermline

Shaw (12')
Duffy (46'), Brooks (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hamilton (80')
Tod (90')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-1 Inverness
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Dunfermline 0-1 Raith Rovers
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
35.93% ( 0.06)	26.56% ( -0.16)	37.51% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 52.34% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.43% (

0.65)

52.57% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77% (

0.55)

74.23% (

-0.55)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

0.35)

28.12% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2% (

0.44)

63.8% (

-0.44)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

0.36)

27.19% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4% (

0.47)

62.6% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 35.93%

Dunfermline Athletic 37.51%

Draw 26.56%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.93%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.51%