Jul 22, 2023 3.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT East End Park

Chris Hamilton 38'
Lewis McCann 77'

Fraser Murray 4'
Fraser Murray 37'
Robbie Deas 77'
Kyle Vassell 81'

Dunfermline Athletic vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

W
D
W
W
D
W

Scottish League Cup

W
D

Last game

Jul 18, 2023 7.45pm

Dunfermline 4 - 0 Annan

Kilmarnock

All competitions

W
W
W
L
W
L

Scottish League Cup

W

Last game

Jul 15, 2023 3.00pm

Kilmarnock 3 - 0 Annan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result

Dunfermline Athletic 33.76% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 25.67% ▲ (+0.01)

Kilmarnock 40.56% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

54.96% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.93% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 49.07% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 28.85% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 71.15% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 4.5 13.88% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 4.5 86.11% ▲ (+0.03)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 72.25% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 0.5 27.75% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 1.5 36.67% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 63.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 76.07% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 23.93% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 41.84% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 58.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 33.76%

Draw 25.67%

Kilmarnock 40.56%

Dunfermline Athletic

1-0 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 5.46%

3-1 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.87%

Total : 33.76%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.17% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.01)

3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.14%

Total : 25.67%

Kilmarnock

0-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.01)

1-2 @ 8.7%

0-2 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)

0-4 @ 1.16%

Other @ 2.89%

Total : 40.56%

Head to Head

Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Kyle Lafferty 26'
Bradley Lyons 48'
Blair Alston 73'
Oli Shaw 76'

Steven Lawless 49'

Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Efe Ambrose 22'
Lewis McCann 29'
Coll Donaldson 59'

Jack Sanders 17'

Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Kyle Lafferty 11'
Kyle Lafferty 67'
Rory McKenzie 71'
Stephen McGinn 78'
Kyle Lafferty 83'
Dylan Tait 90'+2'
Daniel MacKay 90'+2'

Lewis McCann 34'
Aaron Comrie 56'
Steven Lawless 59'
Graham Dorrans 75'
Aaron Comrie 90'+3'
Coll Donaldson 90'+4'

Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Dan Pybus 27'
Dom Thomas 74'
Aaron Comrie 90'+5'
Mark Connolly 90'+6'

Callum Hendry 61'
Callum Hendry 68'
Oli Shaw 75'
Stephen McGinn 79'

Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT

Gary Dicker 51'
Keir Russell 88'

Euan Murray 56'
Fraser Murray 73'
Fraser Murray 83'
Steven Whittaker 90'+1'

Form Data

Dunfermline 4 - 0 Annan

Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Dunfermline

Alloa 0 - 2 Dunfermline

Dunfermline 2 - 1 Clyde

Airdrieonians 1 - 1 Dunfermline

Dunfermline 5 - 0 QotS

Kilmarnock 3 - 0 Annan

Kilmarnock 3 - 1 Ross County

Dundee Utd 0 - 3 Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock 0 - 1 St Johnstone

Kilmarnock 2 - 0 Livingston

Motherwell 2 - 0 Kilmarnock