Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Kilmarnock
33.76% ( -0.02)	25.67% ( 0.01)	40.56% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.96% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.93% (

-0.04)

49.07% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.85% (

-0.03)

71.15% (

0.03)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

-0.03)

27.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.67% (

-0.04)

63.32% (

0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

-0.01)

23.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.84% (

-0.02)

58.15% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 33.76%

Kilmarnock 40.56%

Draw 25.67%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.76%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.56%