Scottish Championship | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

East End Park

Dunfermline
2 - 1
Airdrieonians

Otoo (30'), Allan (65')
Breen (14'), Tod (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Watson (22')
Frizzell (90')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Albion Rovers 0-3 Dunfermline
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 0-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Airdrieonians
39.11% ( 0.52)	26.65% ( 0.67)	34.23% ( -1.19)

Both teams to score 51.83% (

-2.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.88% (

-2.94)

53.12% (

2.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.3% (

-2.55)

74.69% (

2.55)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

-1.07)

26.54% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25% (

-1.44)

61.75% (

1.44)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

-2.15)

29.43% (

2.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.57% (

-2.71)

65.43% (

2.71)

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 39.11%

Airdrieonians 34.23%

Draw 26.65%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.11%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.86) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.23%