Scottish Championship Playoffs | Final | 1st Leg

May 17, 2023 at 7.35pm UK

TBC

Airdrieonians
1 - 0
Hamilton

(2-2 on aggregate)

Smith (56')

FT
(aet)

Airdrieonians win 6-6 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Championship Playoffs clash between Airdrieonians and Hamilton Academical, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Scottish Championship Playoffs

Last Game: Falkirk 0-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Goals
for

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Championship Playoffs

Last Game: Hamilton 5-2 Alloa
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Hamilton Academical
52.61% ( -0.46)	23.18% ( 0.15)	24.21% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 56.86% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34% (

-0.37)

43.66% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95% (

-0.36)

66.05% (

0.37)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.4% (

-0.3)

16.6% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.59% (

-0.54)

46.41% (

0.54)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18% (

0.06)

31.82% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74% (

0.07)

68.26% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 52.61%

Hamilton Academical 24.21%

Draw 23.18%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Hamilton Academical
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.61%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 24.21%