Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 53.42%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.