Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
| 31.28% ( | 24.44% ( | 44.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% ( | 44.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( | 66.74% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( | 27.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.62% ( | 62.37% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( | 20.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.55% ( | 52.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.28% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 44.28% |