Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
40.2% ( 0.08) | 24.07% ( -0.02) | 35.72% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 61.01% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.61% ( 0.06) | 41.39% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.21% ( 0.06) | 63.78% ( -0.06) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.23% ( 0.06) | 20.76% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.6% ( 0.1) | 53.4% ( -0.11) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% ( -0.01) | 23% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.2% ( -0.01) | 56.8% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Arbroath | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Montrose | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 15 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |