Scottish Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Excelsior Stadium

Airdrieonians
2 - 1
Inverness

Harper (1' og.), Gallagher (32')
Frizzell (45+2'), McMaster (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Shaw (70')
Gilmour (28'), Samuels (40'), Mckay (66')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Airdrieonians 3-4 Ross County
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Inverness
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
38.97% ( 0.94)	24.67% ( -0.5)	36.36% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 58.9% (

1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.83% (

2.28)

44.17% (

-2.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45% (

2.18)

66.55% (

-2.17)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.43% (

1.51)

22.57% (

-1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.83% (

2.19)

56.17% (

-2.18)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

0.81)

23.93% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85% (

1.14)

58.15% (

-1.14)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 38.97%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 36.36%

Draw 24.67%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.97%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67%	1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.36%