Inverness CT
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Bonnyrigg Rose

Inverness
2 - 1
Bonnyrigg Rose

Doran (4', 40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McGachie (90')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 3-1 Inverness
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 3-0 Elgin
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
56.6% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)23.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.3% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (0.044000000000004 0.04)47.27% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (0.039000000000001 0.04)69.49% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51%16.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (0.0020000000000024 0)46.21%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62% (0.067999999999998 0.07)37.38% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84% (0.067 0.07)74.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 56.6%
    Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 20.39%
    Draw 23.01%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.67%
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 56.6%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 6.07%
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 20.39%