Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.