Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.