Dumbarton
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Bet Butler Stadium
Forfar Athletic

Dumbarton
0 - 1
Forfar

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ross (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish League Two clash between Dumbarton and Forfar Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: Stirling 2-2 Dumbarton
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-1 Forfar
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
DumbartonDrawForfar Athletic
45.24% (0.074999999999996 0.07)25.38% (-0.02 -0.02)29.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.064 0.06)49.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.46% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (0.063000000000002 0.06)21.83% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (0.095000000000006 0.1)55.06% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.14% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 45.24%
    Forfar Athletic 29.37%
    Draw 25.38%
DumbartonDrawForfar Athletic
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.37%

How you voted: Dumbarton vs Forfar

Dumbarton
60.6%
Draw
36.4%
Forfar Athletic
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Forfar
2-1
Dumbarton
Armour (58', 67' pen.)
Docherty (38'), McCluskey (90')
Love (76' pen.)
Carswell (61'), Lynas (65'), McKee (72'), Love (76')
McGeever (12')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Dumbarton
2-2
Forfar
Wylde (40'), Wilson (64')
Nditi (8'), McCluskey (63')
Slater (9')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Forfar
0-0
Dumbarton

Hutton (7')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Dumbarton
1-0
Forfar
Duthie (88')
Neill (35'), Forbes (85')

Allan (73')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Forfar
P-P
Dumbarton