Dumbarton
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Bet Butler Stadium
Albion Rovers

Dumbarton
1 - 5
Albion Rovers

Sonkur (89' og.)
FT(HT: 0-4)
Bevan (7', 12'), Reilly (32', 90+1'), Wilson (39')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Dumbarton and Albion Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: Stranraer 0-2 Dumbarton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Albion Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Stirling 3-2 Albion Rovers
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
DumbartonDrawAlbion Rovers
52.72% (-1.298 -1.3)24.15% (0.263 0.26)23.13% (1.041 1.04)
Both teams to score 52.43% (0.489 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)48.93% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98% (0.009999999999998 0.01)71.02% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (-0.48700000000001 -0.49)18.51% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.26% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83)49.74% (0.838 0.84)
Albion Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (0.98099999999999 0.98)35.66% (-0.976 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (0.999 1)72.43% (-0.994 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 52.71%
    Albion Rovers 23.13%
    Draw 24.15%
DumbartonDrawAlbion Rovers
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 52.71%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.6%
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.177 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.216 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.126 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.13%

Head to Head
Dec 31, 2022 1pm
Albion Rovers
0-1
Dumbarton
Love (70')
Buchanan (31')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Dumbarton
1-1
Albion Rovers
Carswell (20' pen.)
Reilly (6')
Wilson (21')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Albion Rovers
1-2
Dumbarton
Kidd (17')
Roberts (83'), Fagan (90+3')
Fleming (22')
Carswell (24' pen.), Wallace (88')
Orsi (45'), Love (57'), Byrne (66'), Blair (79')