Scottish League Two | Gameweek 27

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stair Park

Stranraer
0 - 2
Dumbarton

FT(HT: 0-1)

MacLean (33'), Buchanan (76')

Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stranraer and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stranraer

All competitions

Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 East Fife
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

Dumbarton

All competitions

Last Game: Dumbarton 1-0 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Stranraer	Draw	Dumbarton
40.56% ( -0.23)	25.26% ( 0.23)	34.18% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.48% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.85% (

-1.01)

47.15% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.61% (

-0.94)

69.39% (

0.94)

Stranraer Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

-0.55)

23.09% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.07% (

-0.82)

56.93% (

0.82)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43% (

-0.48)

26.57% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.21% (

-0.63)

61.78% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Stranraer 40.56%

Dumbarton 34.18%

Draw 25.25%

Stranraer	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.56%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.18%