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Scottish Cup | Final
Jun 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Hampden Park
Inverness CT

Celtic
3 - 1
Inverness

Furuhashi (38'), Abada (65'), Jota (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
MacKay (84')

The Match

Match Report

Celtic complete a domestic treble for the eighth time with a 3-1 win over Inverness Caledonian Thistle in the Scottish Cup final at Hampden Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Celtic and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 5-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, May 27 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 85.82%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 4.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 4-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
85.82% (0.133 0.13)9.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)4.56% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 45.92% (-1.434 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.58% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)26.41% (0.981 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.25% (-1.262 -1.26)46.74% (1.261 1.26)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.83% (-0.143 -0.14)4.17% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.58% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)17.42% (0.457 0.46)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.92% (-1.423 -1.42)52.08% (1.423 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.94% (-0.95 -0.95)86.06% (0.95 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 85.82%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 4.56%
    Draw 9.62%
CelticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
3-0 @ 11.61% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 10.96% (0.44 0.44)
4-0 @ 9.22% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.347 0.35)
4-1 @ 6.02% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-0 @ 5.86% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 3.82% (-0.131 -0.13)
6-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.136 -0.14)
6-1 @ 2.03% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
7-0 @ 1.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.25% (-0.097 -0.1)
7-1 @ 0.92% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 85.82%
1-1 @ 4.5% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.33% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.17% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 9.62%
1-2 @ 1.47% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 1.42% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 4.56%

How you voted: Celtic vs Inverness

Celtic
87.0%
Draw
4.3%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2017 7.45pm
Inverness
0-4
Celtic

Laing (65')
Sinclair (43'), Dembele (46', 73'), Armstrong (66')
Feb 11, 2017 12.15pm
Fifth Round
Celtic
6-0
Inverness
Lustig (20'), Dembele (45'), Dembele (50', 59'), Tierney (86'), Brown (91')
Lustig (73')

Tremarco (29'), Draper (35'), Vigurs (37'), Warren (42')
Nov 5, 2016 3pm
Celtic
3-0
Inverness
Sinclair (48'), Griffiths (64'), Rogic (83')

Tansey (43')
Tansey (65')
Sep 18, 2016 3pm
Inverness
2-2
Celtic
King (28'), Fisher (89')
Vigurs (41'), Tremarco (66')
Rogic (17'), Sinclair (34')
Brown (26'), Sviatchenko (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm