Rangers logo
Scottish Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 30, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Hampden Park, Glasgow
Celtic logo

Rangers
0 - 1
Celtic

FT(HT: 0-1)
Jota (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Rangers and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rangers

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Rangers
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
RangersDrawCeltic
37.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)23.69% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.36% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.68% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)39.32% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)61.66% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)20.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)20.73% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)53.36% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rangers 37.95%
    Celtic 38.36%
    Draw 23.69%
RangersDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 38.36%

How you voted: Rangers vs Celtic

Rangers
24.4%
Draw
12.8%
Celtic
62.8%
78
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 12.30pm
gameweek 31
Celtic
3-2
Rangers
Furuhashi (26', 62'), Jota (73')
Carter-Vickers (8'), McGregor (39'), O'Riley (44'), Mooy (47')
Tavernier (45', 78')
Raskin (39'), Cantwell (45+2')
Feb 26, 2023 3pm
Final
Rangers
1-2
Celtic
Morelos (64')
Lundstram (50'), Kamara (58'), Colak (90+1'), Barisic (90'), Kent (90'), Cantwell (90+4')
Furuhashi (44', 56')
Taylor (70'), Oh (79'), Abada (83'), Johnston (90+1')
Jan 2, 2023 12.30pm
gameweek 20
Rangers
2-2
Celtic
Kent (47'), Tavernier (53' pen.)
Maeda (5'), Furuhashi (88')
Starfelt (90+3')
Sep 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 6
Celtic
4-0
Rangers
Abada (8', 40'), Jota (32'), Turnbull (78')
Carter-Vickers (44'), Starfelt (55'), Giakoumakis (90')

Barisic (19'), Tillman (34'), Goldson (90')
May 1, 2022 12pm
gameweek 2
Celtic
1-1
Rangers
Jota (21')
Ralston (50'), Bitton (72'), Giakoumakis (77')
Sakala (67')
Barisic (64'), Kent (77'), Diallo (87'), Goldson (90+2')