Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Forthbank Stadium
Airdrieonians

Stirling University
2 - 3
Airdrieonians

McAninch (18', 54' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
O'Connor (36'), McCabe (37'), McStravick (58')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Stirling University and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stirling University

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Clyde 1-3 Stirling University
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-0 Airdrieonians
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Stirling University had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Stirling University win it was 2-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Stirling UniversityDrawAirdrieonians
22.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)22.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.93% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.11% (0.128 0.13)42.89% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.71% (0.125 0.13)65.29% (-0.124 -0.12)
Stirling University Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.10299999999999 0.1)32.9% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (0.112 0.11)69.48% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)15.52% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.56% (0.074000000000005 0.07)44.43% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stirling University 22.48%
    Airdrieonians 54.93%
    Draw 22.59%
Stirling UniversityDrawAirdrieonians
2-1 @ 5.88% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.16%
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 22.48%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.86% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.12% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.4% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.85% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 54.93%